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Premier League odds, picks: Nottingham Forest vs. Newcastle



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For the primary time since 1999, Nottingham Forest will play within the high division of English Soccer. The Difficult Timber earned their promotion the exhausting means, beginning final season 1-1-6 (Win-Draw-Loss) earlier than qualifying for the play-off because of a magical run underneath new supervisor Steve Cooper.

As is commonly the case with newly-promoted sides, Cooper and Forest had a busy offseason to interchange gamers whose mortgage offers had run out, along with bolstering the squad for the Premier League.

Nottingham Forest vs. Newcastle odds, decide

Even with some shrewd additions over the summer season like Jesse Lingard, Taiwo Awoniyi, Neco Williams and Orel Mangala, the bookmakers aren’t too eager on Forest’s possibilities of staying up within the high flight. The Difficult Timber are +110 to be relegated, which ties them with fellow newcomers Fulham for second-shortest odds behind Bournemouth, who’re odds-on favorites at -210.

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Acknowledging the ground for a crew like Forest is sort of low and there’s danger to creating this assertion, there are causes to consider that the previous European Champions may catch everybody unexpectedly (not in contrast to Brentford final season) because of their supervisor.

Whereas there’s motive to consider that Forest could possibly be underrated by the market, Newcastle is on the other finish of the spectrum. Due to the mega-investment within the membership from the, uh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, the Magpies at the moment are flush with money and have spent it properly thus far. Bruno Guimaraes, Kieran Trippier, Dan Burn, Nick Pope and Matty Money give Eddie Howe a stable basis to construct on, but it surely does really feel like bettors are getting caught up within the hype a bit of bit with Newcastle.

Bruno Guimaraes.
Bruno Guimaraes on the coaching grounds for Newcastle.
Newcastle United through Getty Picture

Certain, the Magpies have been a lot improved when the brand new homeowners got here in and employed Howe, however that isn’t saying a lot contemplating how poor they have been earlier than the takeover. Newcastle went 11-1-5 (W-D-L) with a +4 objective distinction after the January switch shut, however its underlying metrics weren’t that spectacular because it posted a -0.7 anticipated objective differential in that span. 

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And it’s additionally truthful to be skeptical of simply how stable Newcastle’s protection will likely be underneath Howe. When he arrived at St. James Park final winter, the objective was clear: Survive. When that’s the case, coaches — even these with extra free-flowing philosophies like Howe — will all the time are usually extra pragmatic and arrange extra defensively. 

With the specter of relegation passed by the wayside, Howe will probably implement a extra buccaneering type for Newcastle and that would open them as much as the counter-attack towards a counter-attacking crew like Nottingham Forest.

There’s little doubt right here that Newcastle are a a lot stronger facet than Nottingham Forest, however the pricing right here is uncontrolled. The Difficult Timber are a stay underdog on Saturday.

Nottingham Forest vs. Newcastle decide

Nottingham Forest +475 — FanDuel