The NBA’s quintet of Christmas matchups concludes in Denver, the place the Nuggets host the Phoenix Suns at Ball Enviornment.
The pregame narrative: Denver is on a roll at house, and we expect that’ll proceed in opposition to an opponent who struggles exterior of its house enviornment. Additionally, count on Nikola Jokic to proceed dominating on the glass.
Try our greatest Suns vs. Nuggets same-game parlay picks for December 25.
Odds as of 12:41 p.m. on 12/24/2022.
Suns vs. Nuggets same-game parlay picks
Nuggets moneyline + underneath 235.5 factors + Jokic over 11.5 rebounds (+275)
Nuggets ML (-186): Denver is house for the vacations, and that bodes properly for this group’s possibilities at a win.
The Nuggets are 11-3 at house this season, which is the NBA’s fifth-best report in pleasant confines, and so they’ve gained seven of their previous eight house matchups. The exception was a one-point loss in opposition to the Mavericks on Dec. 6.
As for the Suns, their 5-9 report on the highway makes this choose much more engaging. Phoenix dropped its previous two video games heading into this matchup, and it misplaced 4 of 5 prior highway video games.
Denver has the second-best internet score at house within the NBA (9.9).
Below 235.5 factors (-182): Each groups have hit the underneath as a rule this season, however we’ve nonetheless teased the quantity up a couple of factors for some further safety.
In reality, Phoenix and Denver have each fallen underneath this quantity in eight of their previous 10 video games, respectively. And two of their three conferences went underneath this mark final season.
A part of what we’re counting on for the underneath is the tempo at which these groups play. The Nuggets and Suns rank 18th and twenty fourth, respectively, in common possessions per sport.
Though neither group is taken into account a premier defensive unit, they doubtless gained’t run the ground usually sufficient to push this towards the over.
Jokic over 11.5 rebounds (-124): The 2-time MVP is among the most fascinating gamers to again on the prop market as a result of he stuffs the stat sheet in so some ways. Lately, rebounding has been his most constant class, in order that’s what we’re keying on.
Over the previous month, Jokic has averaged 12.5 rebounds in 13 video games. His common is bloated a tad by his 27-rebound efficiency final Sunday, however remember the fact that he’s nonetheless grabbed double-digit boards 10 instances in that span.
The Suns permit the Tenth-most rebounds to opposing centres, and Jokic has burned them earlier than. He grabbed 12 rebounds per sport in 5 matchups in opposition to Phoenix over the 2 earlier seasons.
JH
Jordan Horrobin writes about sports activities betting for NorthStar Bets. NorthStar Bets is owned by NordStar Capital, which additionally owns Torstar, the Star’s dad or mum firm. Comply with him on Twitter:
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